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What Happens When SNKRS Shock Drops

Flint 13 Shock Drop

Flint 13s shock dropped on Nike SNKRS today. Really the drop was kind of a disaster because it only went live on Nike desktop and not on SNKRS itself. But earlier in the day, I started hearing about a possible shock drop. This is a breakdown of what goes on the day, before and after a SNKRS shock drop.

Typical Shock Drop Timeline

  • 11:30 AM: chatter begins about a possible SNKRS shock drop
  • 12:00 PM: People try to quietly confirm with other reputable sources in other groups, or within the sneaker industry.
  • 1:00 PM: Drop is confirmed, but not that well known yet. Some start taking bids. More on this below.
  • 3:00 PM: More groups start announcing shock drop to their members. If a big group like AMNotify says it, it’ll eventually leak to all other groups. AMNotify is Wuhan in this case.
  • 5:00 PM: People start getting comfortable tweeting about it
  • 6:00 PM: Some start predicting either no shock drop, or a different shoe will drop
  • 7:00 PM: You hear 4 different possible drop times: 8:30PM, 8:45PM, 8:50PM, or 9:00PM.
  • 8:30 PM: Bigger link accounts may start to glom on and tweeting out their affiliate links
  • 8:50 PM: Shock Drop
  • 8:53 PM: Bid taking commences for everyone who hit
  • 8:55 PM: People want credit for calling it.
  • 8:59 PM: Nike live chat wait is 45mins long because everyone is trying to upgrade to 2-day shipping.
  • 9:00 PM: Price drops on the apps drops by $20-30 to $275. Some consider cancelling their orders if it drops too much.
  • 11:00 PM: Price recovers and goes back up to $320 or so.

Taking Bids Before The Shock Drop

Some resellers will gamble and start taking bids when they first hear about a possible shock drop, before there’s any widespread confirmation of one. Especially if they hear about it before other groups are talking about it. Then on the shock drop, they’ll just go for those sizes. In this StockX Sales History Chart for Flint 13, you’ll see 5 sales within 8 minutes between 12:44pm to 12:52pm:

Flint 13 Sales History Before Shock Drop

This is most likely when word started spreading about the Flint 13 shock drop. As of Sunday night, as I write this, the average price of those sizes is $315usd. So by selling at $350 earlier in the day, they made a $35 premium on what they would have if they took a bid after the shock drop.

But really I don’t recommend anyone do this. Especially if you don’t know what you’re doing. This is a seasoned professional lane only. It’s especially hard to do because you have to hit that size on the drop and have in hand within a few days. Some who live relatively close to Nike’s Memphis warehouse routinely do this. But this is even harder to pull off with COVID-19 delaying shipments across the board. You also have to have a high Goat score, or a StockX account in good standing where it’s easy to cancel. Timing wise you have to have a lot of things go right. Stay in your own lane.